{"id":12213,"date":"2022-09-07T14:11:43","date_gmt":"2022-09-07T12:11:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/?p=12213"},"modified":"2022-09-07T14:14:22","modified_gmt":"2022-09-07T12:14:22","slug":"vanguard-ezb-ausblick-grosser-zinsschritt-erwartet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/vanguard-ezb-ausblick-grosser-zinsschritt-erwartet\/","title":{"rendered":"Vanguard: EZB-Ausblick &#8211; Grosser Zinsschritt erwartet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Vanguard : Wir erwarten eine Zinserh\u00f6hung um 75 Basispunkte (BP) \u2013 die erste Zinserh\u00f6hung dieser Gr\u00f6ssenordnung seit der Einf\u00fchrung des Euros.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><a href=\"\/newsletter\">Abonnieren Sie unseren kostenloser Newsletter<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Von Roxane Spitznagel, \u00d6konomin<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In unserem Basisszenario erwarten wir eine <strong>moderate Rezession mit negativem Wachstum f\u00fcr zwei Quartale ab dem vierten Quartal und eine j\u00e4hrliche Wachstumsrate von -0.5 bis 0.5% im Jahr 2023<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Im <strong>vierten Quartal 2022<\/strong> erwarten wir einen <strong>H\u00f6chststand der Inflation von 10%<\/strong>. Angesichts des Nachfrager\u00fcckgangs in einer Rezession und der erwarteten Entwicklung der Energie- und Nahrungsmittelpreise d\u00fcrfte die Inflation im Jahr 2023 dann zur\u00fcckgehen. <strong>Die Inflation wird jedoch weiterhin erh\u00f6ht bleiben und 2023 wahrscheinlich durchschnittlich 5% betragen.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Dies unterstreicht die Notwendigkeit einer weiteren Straffung. Wir gehen davon aus, dass die <strong>Europ\u00e4ische Zentralbank (EZB) die Zinsen auf 2,5% im M\u00e4rz 2023 erh\u00f6hen wird und diese dann f\u00fcr den Rest des Jahres unver\u00e4ndert bleiben.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Quelle: BondWorld<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vanguard : Wir erwarten eine Zinserh\u00f6hung um 75 Basispunkte (BP) \u2013 die erste Zinserh\u00f6hung dieser Gr\u00f6ssenordnung seit der Einf\u00fchrung des Euros.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12215,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"telegram_tosend":false,"telegram_tosend_message":"","telegram_tosend_target":0,"footnotes":"","_wpscp_schedule_draft_date":"","_wpscp_schedule_republish_date":"","_wpscppro_advance_schedule":false,"_wpscppro_advance_schedule_date":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[37],"tags":[189,171],"class_list":["post-12213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-marktanalyse","tag-ezb","tag-vanguard"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":6}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12213"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12213\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12214,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12213\/revisions\/12214"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investmentworld.eu\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}